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High Brightness LED Market Forecast to Reach $3.4 Billion by 2005
Source/Type:
Reference Materials
April 6, 2001... With a growth rate exceeding 58% annually for the past five years, the worldwide
market for High Brightness LEDs (HB-LEDs) reached $1.2 billion in 2000, and accounted
for 42% of the total LED market. According to a recently published report
by market research firm Strategies Unlimited,
continued robust growth is projected for the next five years, with the market
expected to exceed $3.4 billion in 2005. The report, entitled High Brightness
LED Market Review and Forecast - 2001, provides a comprehensive analysis
and forecast of the applications, markets and supply of HB-LEDs.
According to Strategies Unlimited, and reviewed in detail in the report... The High Brightness LED market is served by a number of large established suppliers
as well as several smaller emerging ones. Dominating the market for blue, green
and white LEDs based on indium gallium nitride (InGaN) are Nichia Corporation,
Toyoda Gosei, Cree, and Osram Opto Semiconductors. The major suppliers of yellow,
orange and red HB-LEDs based on indium gallium aluminum phosphide (InGaAlP) are
Agilent Technologies and Lumileds Lighting (Agilent's joint venture partner
with Philips Lighting), Osram Opto Semiconductors, Toshiba, and Taiwanese chip
suppliers UEC and Epistar. Other major players on the world market include Stanley
Electric, Matsushita Electric, Sharp and Citizen Electronics. The emergence
of newer suppliers, such as AXT and Uniroyal Optoelectronics and a number of Taiwanese
startups, will make the competitive picture even more interesting in years to
come.
Although High Brightness LEDs are penetrating all market sectors, several applications
stand out as being truly enabled by the availability of this technology. For
example, large, full-color outdoor LED signs became possible only in the mid-1990s
as HB-LEDs became available in all three primary colors - red,
green and blue. Such signs are bright, colorful and can easily accept full video
frame rates. The use of high-brightness LEDs in center high-mounted stop lamps
(CHMSLs) for cars has made significant inroads in the U.S., Europe and Japan,
to the extent that 32% of all cars and light trucks worldwide came equipped
with LED CHMSLs in 2000. Beginning in 1997, a significant fraction of European
cars began using blue, green, white and amber HB-LEDs for instrument
panel illumination, and today over 50% of European-made cars (for example, VW,
Audi, BMW and Mercedes) are so equipped.
LED traffic signals have experienced dramatic market growth since the mid-1990s.
The use of more expensive LEDs to replace incandescent lamps in traffic signals
is based on the high reliability of the LEDs as well as the fact that LEDs use
80% less electricity than filtered incandescent lamps. For example, the current
energy crisis in California has induced the Department of Transportation (Caltrans)
to retrofit the more than 200,000 signals it controls with LEDs.
In the past two years the use of HB-LEDs to backlight small LCD
displays, particularly for mobile phones, has made a major contribution to the
market. Both single color backlighting (e.g. blue, green, amber, red) of monchrome
displays, as well as white backlighting of full-color displays, have grown rapidly
in Asia, and their use is spreading to Europe and North America.
One of the biggest potential markets for High Brightness LEDs is the general
illumination market. Although the availability of HB-LEDs at the price and performance
levels required for large-scale penetration of this market is still some years
away, several specialty illumination markets are already being addressed. Moreover,
several joint ventures have been formed between HB-LED suppliers and the world's
largest lighting suppliers to address the illumination market, including Lumileds
Lighting (Philips Lighting and Agilent); GELcore (GE Lighting and Emcore); and
Osram Opto Semiconductors (Osram and Infineon). Current niche lighting applications
include machine vision, architectural and theme lighting, retail lighting, and
contour lighting. (Editor's note... The first commercially available white LED nightlights and flashlights have already appeared on the market in limited volume through major retail outlets such as WalMart, where they experienced rapid sell-outs.) These applications accounted for just 3% of the HB-LED market in 2000, but will pave the way for the larger illumination applications
to follow.
High Brightness LED Market Review and Forecast - 2001 is available for immediate
delivery at a price of $5,950. To obtain a copy of the full report, contact
Strategies Unlimited at (650) 941-3438, fax (650) 941-5120, email info@strategies-u.com,
or check their website: www.strategies-u.com.
Strategies Unlimited, located in Mountain View, California, has provided market
research reports and industry newsletters on optoelectronic, photovoltaic, and
RF/wireless components since 1979. The firm specializes in the overall field of compound semiconductors.
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